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Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003283396
People often make important decisions based on information elicited from experts with uncertain preferences. We provide a theoretical rationale for the use of information markets in decision making tasks. Specifically, we show that markets for claims on decision-relevant variables can be...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014027368
Information markets are markets for contracts that yield payments based on the outcomeof an uncertain future event, such as a presidential election. The prices in these markets provide useful information about a particular issue, such as a president's reelection probability. The purpose of this...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014028856