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Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014470703
The Allais critique of expected utility theory (EUT) has led to the development of theories of choice under risk that … labora-tory experiments designed to test independence, our experiment systematically tests the entire set of axioms …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012583551
For choice with deterministic consequences, the standard rationality hypothesis is ordinality, i.e., maximization of a …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014025530
This paper presents a new decision theory for modelling choice under risk. The new theory is a two-parameter generalization of expected utility theory. The proposed theory assumes that a decision maker: 1) behaves as if maximizing expected utility; but 2) may experience disappointment (elation)...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013046184
Revealed preference is the dominant approach for inferring preferences, but it relies on discrete, stochastic choices. The choice process also produces response times (RTs) which are continuous and can often be observed in the absence of informative choice outcomes. Moreover, there is a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012901189
Expected utility theory (EUT) is currently the standard framework which formally defines rational decision-making under risky conditions. EUT uses a theoretical device called von Neumann-Morgenstern utility function, where concepts of function and random variable are employed in their...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012520657
An agent wants to derive her belief over outcomes based on past observations collected in her database (memory). There is well establish evidence in the psychology and marketing literature that agents consistently fail (or choose not) to process all available information. An agent might be...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010403098
Evidence from studies in international relations, the politics of reform, collective action and price competition suggests that economic agents in social dilemma situations cooperate more to avoid losses than in the pursuit of gains. To test whether the prospect of losses can induce cooperation,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011438253
Empirical evidence suggests that choices are affected by the amount of time available to the decision maker. Time pressure or a cooling-off period (mandatory delay of choice) changes how choices are determined. Yet, few models are able to account for the role of available time on decisions. This...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011703384
We design and implement a novel experimental test of subjective expected utility theory and its generalizations. Our experiments are implemented in the laboratory with a student population, and pushed out through a large-scale panel to a general sample of the US population. We find that a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012126236