It has been shown how trade policy can be strategically chosen while demand uncertainty significantly arises for the exporting market. As an extension, we will show how industry-protecting policy can be strategically chosen while uncertainty arises in both demand and supply. In summary, demand...

Using a long-panel dataset of Japanese firms that contains firm-level sales forecasts, we provide evidence on firm-level uncertainty and imperfect information over their life cycle. We find that firms make non-negligible and positively correlated forecast errors. However, they make more precise...

Based on external uncertainty environment and R&D innovation wave background, this paper explores the impact of information noise caused by economic policy uncertainty and the peer effect on corporate R&D innovation activities, using the multiple regression method and the quarterly data of...

The present work examines the evolutionary theories set forth by Armen Alchian in his 1950 paper, Uncertainty, Evolution and Economic Theory; and furthered by Geoffrey Manne and Todd Zywicki in their recent paper titled Uncertainty, Evolution, and Behavioral Economic Theory. Alchian’s thesis...

This paper uses firm level panel data from Ethiopian manufacturing to investigate the investment behavior of firms under uncertainty. The paper focuses on the heterogeneity of firm level investment responses to both demand and supply side sources of uncertainty. Accordingly, the...