Showing 1 - 10 of 3,578
Macroeconomic uncertainty consists of three components: the unobservable, the heterogeneous and the "uncertain". We are … unaware of exactly when economic agents perceive uncertainty and which type of uncertainty interests them. This paper … uncertainty related queries" for both the USA and Italy. We show that the EURQ encapsulates agents’ need to gather more …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012110400
credit constraints; (iv) asset market crashes. In simulations and in the data we aggregate explicitly from individual … behavior. We model credit tightening as a constraint on new borrowing and this generates an option value of borrowing in good … times. We show that the rise in the aggregate savings ratio is driven by increases in uncertainty, rather than tighening of …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010500212
credit constraints; (iv) as set market crashes. In simulations and in the data we aggregate explicitly from individual … behavior. We model credit tightening as a constraint on new borrowing and this generates an option value of borrowing in good … times. We show that the rise in the aggregate savings ratio is driven by increases in uncertainty, rather than tightening of …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009530241
behavior involves such variables as human wealth and income uncertainty which are not directly observable. This paper exploits …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011539196
The UK's decision to leave the EU in the 2016 referendum created substantial uncertainty for UK businesses. The nature … of this uncertainty is different from that of a typical uncertainty shock because of its length, breadth and political … key results. First, Brexit was reported to be one of the top three sources of uncertainty for around 40% of UK businesses …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012892721
Companies are increasingly adopting Artificial Intelligence (AI) today. Recently however debates started over the risk of human cognitive biases being replicated (and scaled) by AI. Research on biases in AI predicting consumer choice is incipient and focuses on observable biases. We provide a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012821258
desirable since it reduces responsibility and regret after the state uncertainty is resolved. I provide an axiomatic …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014262152
Research has long documented how different forms of uncertainty, namely risk and ambiguity, influence decision making … uncertainty of potential outcomes. Some decisions may be social in nature where the uncertainty is generated by another person …, whereas other decisions may be non-social involving uncertainty that is generated by probabilistic mechanisms. While past …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013324395
In this paper we perform a meta-analysis on empirical estimates of the impact between investment and uncertainty. Since … can explain to a large extent why empirical estimates of the investment-uncertainty relationship differ. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011349194
uncertainty on firms' decisions and market outcomes. We construct alternative measures of uncertainty based on survey of … index, and fuel prices. Our results indicate that greater uncertainty has a negative impact on growth of employment and the … generally non-existent or weaker. Our results suggest that to truly understand the effects of uncertainty on firms' decisions …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009764986