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I analyze optimal natural resource use in an intergenerational model with the risk of a catastrophe. Each generation maximizes a weighted sum of discounted utility (positive) and the probability that a catastrophe will occur at any point in the future (negative). The model generates time-...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009757402
The catastrophic events are characterized by "low frequency and high severity". Nevertheless, during the last decades, both the frequency and the magnitude of these events have been significantly rising worldwide. In 2021, the European Commission adopted a new Strategy on Adaptation to Climate...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012609390
We study the optimal adaptation to extreme climate events by the central government in a setup where events are dynamically uncertain and the government does not know the true probabilities of events. We analyze different policy decision rules minimizing expected welfare losses for sites with...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011806379
Economic uncertainty has to do with the consequences of actions under different circumstances. This raises two … lose gains from specialization. Need for robustness comes from our limited knowledge. Rational dealing with uncertainty … terms, under such an approach acting under uncertainty is related to guidelines for strategic thinking: Focus on priorities …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011326624
Uncertainty in economics is generated by “nature” but also by the model we use to “produce the future”. The production … argues that an appropriate model for dealing with uncertainty keeps the knowledge required by the model from its user in line …
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