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This paper analyzes optimal policy in setups where both the leader and the follower have doubts about the probability model of uncertainty. I illustrate the methodology in two environments: a) an industry populated with a large firm and many small firms in a competitive fringe, where both types...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012256581
In a Ramsey policy regime, heterogeneity in beliefs about the potential costs of climate change is shown to produce policy ambiguities that alter carbon prices and taxation. Three sources of ambiguity are considered: (i) the private sector is skeptical, with beliefs that are unknown to the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013498952
risk and uncertainty and outlines boundary conditions for this positive effect of uncertainty that have direct practical …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014047787
characterization are bound to yield Bayesianly incorrect generalizations. In the Bayesian way of thinking, information risk impacts the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013019904
The UK's decision to leave the EU in the 2016 referendum created substantial uncertainty for UK businesses. The nature of this uncertainty is different from that of a typical uncertainty shock because of its length, breadth and political complexity. Consequently, a new firm-level survey, the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012892721
assessment model (IAM) with long-run risk, adapting methods from the asset pricing literature to deal with endogenous climate … risk. The model solves in closed-form for general degrees of risk aversion, stochastic climate feedbacks, and a stochastic …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013222601
-contingent consumer's surplus and the state-contingent marginal utility of wealth and a second term representing risk aversion. This … consumer's surplus is determined by the covariance between preferences and consumer's surplus and risk aversion. The sign of …. We then apply this result to the allocation of risk in the context of both public and private goods. In Section 3, we …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014023926
This paper theoretically assesses the role that uncertainty plays in the intensity of conflicts. The standard two-player rent-seeking contest model (Tullock, 1980) is extended to allow for privately known subjective values of the prize. The conflict is modeled as a Bayesian game on which each...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013136257
organizations, practitioners working in the field of risk management …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013099256
chapter provides an overview of our ongoing work. The starting point is the Knightian distinction between risk and uncertainty …. In our view, traditional contracting techniques and traditional contract law address problems of risk. Braiding, or …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013069012