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-specific) uncertainty and offers ten main takeaways. The second part reviews contributions on the fast-growing strand of the literature … focusing on the macroeconomic effects of uncertainty spillovers and global uncertainty. The last part proposes a novel measure … of global financial uncertainty and shows that its unexpected variations are associated to statistically and economically …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012119543
perceptions, expectations, and uncertainty through the lens of firms' unit (marginal) costs. Using methods grounded in the survey …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012501381
Measuring economic uncertainty is crucial for understanding investment decisions by individuals and firms …. Macroeconomists increasingly rely on survey data on subjective expectations. An innovative approach to measure aggregate uncertainty … uncertainty. The results provide evidence for the existence of considerable heterogeneity in individuals' response behavior and …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012034114
Model uncertainty has the potential to change importantly how monetary policy should be conducted, making it an issue … form expectations using the misspecified model. Next, I exploit the connection between robust control and uncertainty …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012726361
It is well known that the canonical New Keynesian model cannot produce inflation inertia observed in real data. The purpose of this research is to investigate expectation formation process as a potential source of inflation inertia. We examine a purely forward-looking New Keynesian Phillips...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014208104
When choosing a strategy for monetary policy, policymakers must grapple with mismeasurement of labor market slack, and of the responsiveness of price inflation to that slack. Using stochastic simulations of a small-scale version of the Federal Reserve Board’s principal New Keynesian...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012016122
long- and short-term inflation expectations are sensible to policy-related uncertainty shocks. A rise of long …-term inflation expectations in times of economic contraction, in response to such shocks, suggests that heightened policy uncertainty …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009764421
short-term inflation expectations are sensitive to policy-related uncertainty shocks. While economic activity contracts …, long-term inflation expectations raise in response to such shocks. These results suggest that observed uncertainty about …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013045550
long- and short-term inflation expectations are sensible to policy-related uncertainty shocks. A rise of long …-term inflation expectations in times of economic contraction, in response to such shocks, suggests that heightened policy uncertainty …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013079863
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015064426