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-varying forecast uncertainty and risk for the real price of oil over the period 1974-2018. We show that the combination approach … analysis of profit-loss and hedging against price risk …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013305837
We show that macroeconomic uncertainty can be considered as exogenous when assessing its effects on the U.S. economy. Instead, financial uncertainty can at least in part arise as an endogenous response to some macroeconomic developments, and overlooking this channel leads to distortions in the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012923342
Ever since the emergence of economics as a distinct scientific discipline, policy makers have turned to economic models to guide policy interventions. If policy makers seek to enhance growth of an open capitalist economy, they have to take into account, firstly, the uncertainties,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011422415
Ever since the emergence of economics as a distinct scientific discipline, policy makers have turned to economic models to guide policy interventions. If policy makers seek to enhance growth of an open capitalist economy, they have to take into account, firstly, the uncertainties,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011281255
The potential of geoengineering as an alternative or complementary option to mitigation and adaptation has received increased interest in recent years. The scientific assessment of geoengineering is driven to a large extent by assumptions about its effectiveness, costs, and impacts, all of which...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009737193
dividends next period as ambiguous. We calibrate the agent's ambiguity aversion to match only the first moment of the risk …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011756113
dividends next period as ambiguous. We calibrate the agent's ambiguity aversion to match only the first moment of the risk …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011994544
The potential of geoengineering as an alternative or complementary option to mitigation and adaptation has received increased interest in recent years. The scientific assessment of geoengineering is driven to a large extent by assumptions about its effectiveness, costs, and impacts, all of which...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014158817
severe harvest losses leads to more risk aversion and stronger overweighting of small probabilities. Higher losses are not …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011631008
Farm-level adaptation to changing economic environments is often slower than expected. Technological innovations, for instance, are frequently adopted at a later date than the net present value of investment suggests. This can be explained by a model of “investment under uncertainty,” which...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014177707