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In this study, the performance and rationality of the gross domestic product growth forecasts by the World Bank (WB …
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In July, the IMF, the European Commission, and the Asian Development Bank updated their previous world economic …
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In this paper, we empirically investigate the link between forecasts transparency and macroeconomic volatility as measured by inflation and output growth volatility in developing economies. We adopt the quasi-random controlled experiments methodology that divides our sample of 49 developing...
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We use a previously unexploited consensus survey data set to compare accuracy, unbiasedness and efficiency of Current Account growth forecasts between two panels of 25 developed and 18 developing countries following the methodologies in the existing literature. Forecast errors are bigger for the...
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