In this study, the performance and rationality of the gross domestic product growth forecasts by the World Bank (WB) for six regional aggregates and 130 individual countries between 1999 and 2019 are assessed. A large body of literature examines macroeconomic forecasts for advanced economies by...

In July, the IMF, the European Commission, and the Asian Development Bank updated their previous world economic development forecasts. In the updated IMF forecast, the global GDP growth rate for 2022 is reduced to 3.2% because of a slowdown in the movement of that indicator in the largest G20...

In this paper, we empirically investigate the link between forecasts transparency and macroeconomic volatility as measured by inflation and output growth volatility in developing economies. We adopt the quasi-random controlled experiments methodology that divides our sample of 49 developing...