Showing 1 - 10 of 16,785
This article identifies the best models for forecasting the volatility of daily exchange returns of developing …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013058579
Understanding the sources of domestic food price volatility in developing countries and the extent to which this … volatility is transmitted from international to domestic markets is critical to help design better global, regional, and domestic … policies to cope with excessive food price volatility and to protect the most vulnerable groups. This paper examines price and …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013012360
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011442055
forecasting the volatility of Tehran stock market in some horizon of forecasting. This paper provides an analysis of regime … switching in volatility and out-of-sample forecasting of the IRAN using daily data for the period 1995-2011. We first model … volatility regime switching within a univariate Markov-Switching framework. Then We provide out-of-sample forecasts of the TEHRAN …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013112200
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009523713
This study compares the performance of the widely used risk measure Value-at-Risk (VaR) across a large sample of developed and emerging countries. The performance of the VaR is assessed by both unconditional and conditional tests of Kupiec and Christoffersen, respectively, as well as the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013091310
This paper provides new evidence on the stochastic behaviour of the EPU (Economic Policy Uncertainty (EPU) index constructed by Baker et al. (2016) in six of the biggest economies (Canada, France, Japan, US, Ireland, and Sweden) over the period from January 1985 to October 2019. In particular,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012833734
Central banks manage over $12 trillion in foreign exchange reserves, influencing global exchange rates and asset prices. However, some of the largest holders of reserves report minimal information about their currency composition, hindering empirical analysis. I describe a Hidden Markov Model to...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014236446
collected from 44 developing countries of the world. System generalized method of moment was employed to examine the nature of …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013460262
the Penn World Table and the World Development Indicators, I investigate the robustness of Juselius, Møller and Tarp (2014 …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011375893