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forecasting the volatility of Tehran stock market in some horizon of forecasting. This paper provides an analysis of regime … switching in volatility and out-of-sample forecasting of the IRAN using daily data for the period 1995-2011. We first model … volatility regime switching within a univariate Markov-Switching framework. Then We provide out-of-sample forecasts of the TEHRAN …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013112200
describe the most typical features of capital markets like volatility clustering, excess kurtosis and fat tails. As empirical … evidence shows asymmetry is also a prominent feature of stock market returns volatility. The reaction of risk if stock returns …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013316234
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in the MSCI World Developed Market index as of December 31, 2014. We filter out country level data for illiquid and very …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013029141
: Turkey-BIST 100, Brazil-BOVESPA, Mexico-IPC, Indonesia-JKSE, Russia-MCX India-SENSEX, and China-SSE) and Gold Volatility … Index (GVZ), Oil Volatility Index (OVX) and Fed fund rates is detected. It is determined that GVZ and OVX individually or …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012897874
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During the last few years, there has been a widespread debate about the role of asset prices in the determination of monetary policy. Monetary authorities have traditionally used a Monetary Conditions Index, which is a weighted average between the interest rate and the exchange rate, in order to...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013069983
New indices for developed and emerging markets are analyzed for stocks, bonds and bills over the past 300 years. Indices for commodity markets covering 1000 years and indices for real estate covering over 100 years are also provided. Bull and bear markets for fixed income are studied going back...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014236544
This article identifies the best models for forecasting the volatility of daily exchange returns of developing …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013058579