We develop a new methodology to nowcast the effects of the COVID-19 crisis and forecast its evolution in small, export-oriented countries. To this aim, we exploit variation in financial indexes at the industry level and relate them to the expected duration of the crisis for each industry, under...

Corporate sector vulnerabilities have been a central policy topic since the outset of the COVID-19 pandemic. In this paper, we analyze some 17,000 publicly listed firms in a sample of 24 countries, and assess their ability to withstand shocks induced by the pandemic to their liquidity, viability...

We identify a novel dimension of monetary policy from high-frequency changes in asset prices around ECB policy events, orthogonal to surprises extracted from risk-free interest rates. We find that it is present in policy events that were interpreted by real-time market commentaries as containing...

This paper used an economic model of systemic risk given by Acharya (2016) to measure the state of systemic risk in Indian financial market during COVID-19 Pandemic. It is based on marginal expected shortfall (MES), the likelihoods of a financial firm to be undercapitalized when the financial...

Motivated by a recognition of the increased vulnerability of the banking sector to the COVID-19 pandemic, we examine market-based systemic risk and connectedness in the banking sector of Gulf Cooperation Council member countries, which include Bahrain, Kuwait, the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia (KSA),...

Are pandemics systemically important to modern-day financial markets? This study uses the COVID-19 pandemic as a natural experiment for testing how large-scale pandemics affect the financial markets. Using hand-collected data at the firm level, I find that managers systematically underestimated...

The COVID-19 Financial Crisis seems unprecedented, but this is largely because it combines attributes of multiple historical events, several of which occurred more than one hundred years ago. The easiest way to understand the fundamental dynamics of the crisis is to isolate the distinct phases...