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according to the 1995 election law. We show that in the second and third weeks after the 2020 elections (held on October 9 …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012589175
What is the effect of the COVID-19 pandemic on the 2020 U.S. presidential election? Guided by a pre-analysis plan, we … states, and in states that Trump won in 2016. A simple counterfactual analysis suggests that Trump would likely have won re-election …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012391359
What is the effect of the COVID-19 pandemic on the 2020 U.S. presidential election? Guided by a pre-analysis plan, we … counterfactual analysis suggests that Trump would likely have won re-election if COVID-19 cases had been 5 percent lower. Our paper …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012311095
What is the effect of the COVID-19 pandemic on the 2020 U.S. presidential election? Guided by a pre-analysis plan, we … counterfactual analysis suggests that Trump would likely have won re-election if COVID-19 cases had been 5 percent lower. Our paper …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012315469
The goal of this paper is to study the impact of the lockdown policy on voting behaviour, during the COVID-19 pandemic. We focus on France, where a differential lockdown was implemented across departments, based on the local diffusion of the disease. In particular, the country has been divided...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014095017
In this paper, we examine the extent to which a government's response to a pandemic affects election outcomes. Using … detailed data on South Korea's 21st legislative election, held in April 2020 during the COVID-19 pandemic, we find that a … the COVID infection rate been the same as the OECD average during the election period. Given that the observed result was …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013213261
We analyze the consequences of the decision of French government to maintain the first round of the municipal elections on March 15, 2020 on local excess mortality in the following weeks. We exploit heterogeneity across municipalities in voter turnout, which we instrument using a measure of the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012831244
We study the effect of economic insecurity on electoral outcomes using data on municipal elections in Italy. We implement a difference-in-differences approach that exploits exogenous variation across municipalities in the share of inactive workers due to the economic lockdown introduced by the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013549766
were from election dates. The gradual relaxation of “lockdown style” restrictions ahead of the elections was driven by …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014346606
were from election dates. The gradual relaxation of "lockdown style" restrictions ahead of the elections was driven by …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014310050