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people neglect correlations in the updating process, leading to systematically "overshooting" beliefs. This finding lends …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010339934
and treat correlated information as independent. In consequence, people s beliefs are excessively sensitive to well …-conncected information sources, implying a pattern of overshooting beliefs. Additionally, in an experimental asset market, correlation …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009748615
and treat correlated information as independent. In consequence, people's beliefs are excessively sensitive to well …-connected information sources, implying a pattern of "overshooting" beliefs. Additionally, in an experimental asset market, correlation …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010211474
It is widely hypothesized that anxiety and worry about an uncertain future lead to the adoption of comforting beliefs …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012026094
We propose a model of instrumental belief choice under loss aversion. When new information arrives, an agent is prompted to abandon her prior. However, potential posteriors may induce her to take actions that generate a lower utility in some states than actions induced by her prior. These losses...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011557745
expectations. We examine the predictions of Kőszegi and Rabin (2006) in the context of market experiments with probabilistic forced … these theoretical predictions. In a series of experiments with a total of 930 subjects, sellers' valuations exceed buyers …' valuations under all probabilities of forced exchange. In robustness tests where attention is drawn specifically to the forced …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010436164
Contract compliance is key for economic growth. However, determinants affecting contract breach are not yet well understood. In this paper, we focus on contract situations with a potential hold-up problem, such as contract farming agreements which are prevalent in many developing countries. We...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012200093
Using belief elicitation, the paper investigates the formation and the evolution of beliefs in a signalling game in … which a common prior on Sender's type is not induced. Beliefs are elicited about the type of the Sender and about the … strategies of the players. The experimental subjects often start with diffuse uniform beliefs and update them in view of …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009535526
the prevalence of their own values and preferences when forming beliefs about others' values and preferences, depends on … the salience of own preferences. We manipulate salience by varying the order of elicitation of preferences and beliefs …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014233633
their content effectively to update their beliefs. To answer these questions, I set up an online experiment informed by a … number of available sources increases. Also, ceteris paribus, their performance in updating their beliefs using the selected …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014416234