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contend with new foreign competition after the introduction of the Euro. Panel data taken from a quarterly business survey in … in their expectations that the Euro will increase export activity and product innovation, but significantly more East … German firms expect new foreign competitors to enter the home market. The impact of the Euro on firms' expectations of …
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This paper suggests that exchange rates are related to economic fundamentals over medium-term horizons, such as a month or longer. We find from a large panel of individual professionals' forecasts that good exchange rate forecasts benefit from the proper understanding of fundamentals,...
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2004 to 2012, we find strong evidence that the forecasts for developing countries are biased at all forecast horizons. For … increases again at the 24-month horizon. Based on the magnitude of the forecast errors and the direction of change, long … forecast horizon …
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messbar ist. Thilo Helpenstein leistet einen Erklärungsbeitrag zum besseren Verständnis der Erwartungsbildung des Marktes …
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