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This paper addresses the output-price volatility puzzle by studying the interaction of optimal monetary policy and … processing rate. Although a decline of policy activism directly increases output volatility, it indirectly anchors expectations …, which decreases output volatility. If the indirect effect dominates then the usual trade-off between output and price …
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– the BOI’s USD purchases have widened the negative deviation from covered interest parity. The higher moments of the risk … unaffected. The USD purchases simply shift the whole distribution towards higher USD/ILS values. Crash risk, for instance, is …
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In this study a regime switching approach is applied to estimate the chartist and fundamentalist (c&f) exchange rate model originally proposed by Frankel and Froot (1986). The c&f model is tested against alternative regime switching specifications applying likelihood ratio tests. Nested...
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In this paper, we construct alternative theoretical models for exchange rates by introducing additional risk factors …, based on the volatility of macroeconomic fundamentals. The modified flexible-price monetary model is used to characterize … macroeconomic sources of FOREX risk may be a missing factor in the exchange rate study. …
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