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Model uncertainty
Musolff, Robin; Zimmermann, Florian - 2025 - This version: July 30, 2025
an experiment, participants estimate a company's value, facing uncertainty about which one of two models correctly … more nuanced. Furthermore, we show that complexity, via full uncertainty neglect, leads to higher confidence in the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015438632
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Model uncertainty
Musolff, Robin; Zimmermann, Florian - 2025 - This version: July 30, 2025
an experiment, participants estimate a company's value, facing uncertainty about which one of two models correctly deter … more nuanced. Furthermore, we show that complexity, via full uncertainty neglect, leads to higher confidence in the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015438174
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Policy Experimentation, Political Competition, and Heterogeneous Beliefs
Millner, Antony - 2014
that all incumbents can find it optimal to ‘over experiment', relative to a counter-factual in which they are sure to be in …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013051379
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Policy experimentation, political competition, and heterogeneous beliefs
Millner, Antony; Ollivier, Hélène; Simon, Leo K. - 2014
that all incumbents can find it optimal to ‘over experiment’, relative to a counter-factual in which they are sure to be in …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010366185
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Expectations of fairness and trust co-evolve in environments of partial information
Rauwolf, Paul; Bryson, Joanna J. - In: Dynamic games and applications : DGA 8 (2018) 4, pp. 891-917
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012101148
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Framing of economic news and policy support during a pandemic : evidence from an information experiment
Bareinz, Patrick; Koenings, Fabian - 2021
governmental policy in the context of the COVID-19 crisis. In our survey experiment based on a representative sample of 3000 …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012496418
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Attention to the macroeconomy
Link, Sebastian; Peichl, Andreas; Roth, Christopher; … - 2023
likely to adjust inflation expectations during the shock, have higher confidence in their beliefs, and hold smaller …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014382474
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Consumer sentiment during the COVID-19 pandemic : the role of others' beliefs
Bui, Dzung; Dräger, Lena; Hayo, Bernd; Giang Hong Nghiem - 2020
This paper investigates the direct and indirect effects of others' beliefs on respondents' own beliefs and consumer sentiment. Conducting consumer surveys with randomized control trials (RCTs) in Thailand and Vietnam during the COVID-19 pandemic, we implement two information treatments. Both...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012543061
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Consumer sentiment during the Covid-19 pandemic : the role of others' beliefs
Bui, Dzung; Dräger, Lena; Hayo, Bernd; Giang Hong Nghiem - 2021
This paper investigates the direct and indirect effects of others' beliefs on respondents' own beliefs and consumer sentiment. Conducting consumer surveys with randomized control trials (RCTs) in Thailand and Vietnam during the COVID-19 pandemic, we implement two information treatments. Both...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012500548
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Hindsight bias and trust in government : evidence from the United States
Herz, Holger; Kistler, Deborah; Zehnder, Christian; … - 2022
We empirically assess whether hindsight bias has consequences on how citizens evaluate their political actors. Using an incentivized elicitation technique, we demonstrate that people systematically misremember their past policy preferences regarding how to best fight the Covid-19 pandemic. At...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013205089