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When confronted with uncertain prospects, people often exhibit both choice deferral and Ellsberg-type ambiguity …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011699104
ambiguity averse relation. First, we define two notions of more ambiguous with respect to such a class. A more ambiguous (I) act … makes an ambiguity averse decision maker (DM) worse off but does not affect the welfare of an ambiguity neutral DM. A more … ambiguous (II) act adversely affects a more ambiguity averse DM more, as measured by the compensation they require to switch …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011694759
between the set of relevant measures, shown by KMS [21] to reflect only perceived ambiguity, and the set of measures (which we … perceived ambiguity. Regarding symmetry assumptions, we show that, under relatively mild conditions, a variety of preference … stringent. Only when it is satisfied may the Bewley set be interpreted as reflecting only perceived ambiguity and not also taste …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011694779
depart from the sure thing principle and model the phenomenon of ambiguity and ambiguity aversion. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014025442
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010366822
The phenomena of ambiguity and ambiguity aversion , introduced in Daniel Ellsberg’s seminal 1961 article, are … analytical descriptions of the numerous (primarily axiomatic) models of ambiguity aversion which have been developed by economic … theorists, and concludes with a discussion of some current theoretical topics and newer examples of ambiguity aversion. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014025519
Humans are notoriously bad at understanding probabilities, exhibiting a host of biases and distortions that are context dependent. This has serious consequences on how we assess risks and make decisions. Several theories have been developed to replace the normative rational expectation theory at...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012219210
Under state-dependent preferences, probabilities and units of scale of state-dependent utilities are not separately identified. In standard models, only their products matter to decisions. Separate identification has been studied under implicit actions by Drèze or under explicit actions and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011811749
This paper extends Savage's subjective approach to probability and utility from decision problems under exogenous uncertainty to choice in strategic environments. Interactive uncertainty is modeled both explicitly, using hierarchies of preference relations, the analogue of beliefs hierarchies,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011700273
For choice with deterministic consequences, the standard rationality hypothesis is ordinality, i.e., maximization of a weak preference ordering. For choice under risk (resp. uncertainty), preferences are assumed to be represented by the objectively (resp. subjectively) expected value of a von...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014025530