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This paper develops an axiomatic theory of decision making under uncertainty that dispenses with the state space. The results are subjective expected utility models with unique, action-dependent, subjective probabilities, and a utility function defined over wealth-effect pairs that is unique up...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010293467
Contemporary approaches to decision making describe a decision problem by sets of states and outcomes, and a rich set of acts: functions from states to outcomes over which the decision maker (DM) has preferences. Real problems do not come so equipped. It is often unclear what the state and...
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This paper proposes a model of decision under ambiguity deemed vector expected utility, or VEU. In this model, an uncertain prospect, or Savage act, is assessed according to (a) a baseline expected-utility evaluation, and (b) an adjustment that reflects the individual's perception of ambiguity...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010266297
We characterize convex vNM-Stable Sets according to von Neumann and Morgenstern for orthogonal linear production games with a continuum of players. The results of Rosenmüller & Shitovitz [International journal of game theory 29 (2000), pp. 39-61] are thereby substantially improved....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010272614
Optimism bias is inconsistent with the independence of decision weights and payoffs found in models of choice under risk, such as expected utility theory and prospect theory. Hence, to explain the evidence suggesting that agents are optimistically biased, we propose an alternative model of risky...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010280875
This paper introduces new core and Walrasian equilibrium notions for an asymmetric information economy with non-expected utility preferences. We prove existence and incentive compatibility results for the new notions we introduce.
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