We evaluate residual projection strategies in the context of a large-scale macro model of the euro area and smaller benchmark time-series models. The exercises attempt to measure the accuracy of model-based forecasts simulated both out-of-sample and in-sample. Both exercises incorporate...

This paper introduces a test for zero correlation in situations where the correlation matrix is large compared to the sample size. The test statistic is the sum of the squared correlation coefficients in the sample. We derive its limiting null distribution as the number of variables as well as...

In zahlreichen großen Datensätzen von wissenschaftlichem Interesse sind einige Variablen, wie z. B. die Lohnhöhe, top-coded oder rechtszensiert. Zur Analyse von Löhnen auf der Grundlage der IAB-Beschäftigtenstichprobe muss zunächst das Problem der, an der Beitragsbemessungsgrenze der...