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Optimizing time-series forecasts for inflation and interest rates using simulation and model averaging
Jumah, Adusei; Kunst, Robert M. - 2008
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003778880
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Forecasting random walks under drift instability
Pesaran, M. Hashem; Pick, Andreas - 2008
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003850869
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Forecasting series containing offsetting breaks : old school and new school methods of forecasting transnational terrorism
Enders, Walter; Liu, Yu; Prodan, Ruxandra - In: Defence and peace economics 20 (2009) 6, pp. 441-463
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003938360
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Forecasting random walks under drift instability
Pesaran, M. Hashem (contributor); Pick, Andreas (contributor) - 2008
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003711763
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Forecasting exchange rates : the multi-state Markov-switching model with smoothing
Yuan, Chunming - In: International review of economics & finance : IREF 20 (2011) 2, pp. 342-362
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009304115
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Marktbasierte Zinsprognosen mit Regime-Switching-Modellen
Ahrens, Ralf - 2000
Untersuchung zeigt der Autor Möglichkeiten der Prognose von Geld- und Kapitalmarktzinssätzen auf. Im Rahmen der dem Konzept der …-Switching-Technik ein. Im zweiten Hauptteil wird aus theoretischer Sicht gezeigt, daß die Prognose von Zinssätzen ökonomisch sinnvoll ist …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011402042
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A multiplicative error model with heterogeneous components for forecasting realized volatility
Han, Heejoon; Park, Myung D.; Zhang, Shen - In: Journal of forecasting 34 (2015) 3, pp. 209-219
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011305259
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Optimizing time-series forecasts for inflation and interest rates using simulation and model averaging
Jumah, Adusei; Kunst, Robert M. - 2008
Motivated by economic-theory concepts - the Fisher hypothesis and the theory of the term structure - we consider a …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009735355
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Linear predictability vs. bull and bear market models in strategic asset allocation decisions : evidence from UK data
Guidolin, Massimo; Hyde, Stuart - 2012
Most papers in the portfolio choice literature have examined linear predictability frameworks based on the idea that simple but flexible Vector Autoregressive (VAR) models can be expanded to produce portfolio allocations that hedge against the bull and bear dynamics typical of financial markets...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009658243
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Enhancing the forecasting power of exchange rate models by introducing nonlinearity : does it work?
Burns, Kelly; Moosa, Imad A. - In: Economic modelling 50 (2015), pp. 27-39
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011439608