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Inflation in the euro area has been falling since mid-2013, turned negative at the end of 2014 and remained below … by means of sign restrictions, to inflation and economic activity. Shocks to oil supply do not tell the full story about … contractionary. A country analysis confirms that the negative effects of oil supply and monetary policy shocks on inflation was …
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In this paper we test a new empirical relationship between wage and inflation. We introduce the concept of a cumulative … relation between their current wages and their past wages, adjusted for inflation. We call this the post-crisis Phillips Curve …. The shape of the post-crisis Phillips Curve expresses the theoretical assumption that the inflation rate stays below its …
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Inflation in advanced economies is low by historical standards but there is no threat of deflation. Slower economic … growth is caused by supply-side constraints rather than low inflation. Below-the-target inflation does not damage the … reputation of central banks. Thus, central banks should not try to bring inflation back to the targeted level of 2%. Rather, they …
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, currencies, oil prices, and inflation …
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