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Nonparametric regression and the detection of turning points in the Ifo business climate
Abberger, Klaus - 2004
Business climate indicators are used to receive early signals for turning points in the general business cycle. Therefore methods for the detection of turning points in time series are required. Estimations of slopes of a smooth component in the data can be calculated with local polynomial...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011450892
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Nonparametric regression and the detection of turning points in the Ifo business climate
Abberger, Klaus - 2004
Business climate indicators are used to receive early signals for turning points in the general business cycle. Therefore methods for the detection of turning points in time series are required. Estimations of slopes of a smooth component in the data can be calculated with local polynomial...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10002426713
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Nonparametric Regression and the Detection of Turning Points in the Ifo Business Climate
Abberger, Klaus - 2021
Business climate indicators are used to receive early signals for turning points in the general business cycle. Therefore methods for the detection of turning points in time series are required. Estimations of slopes of a smooth component in the data can be calculated with local polynomial...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013318975
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Predicting ordinary and severe recessions with a three-state Markov-switching dynamic factor model : an application to the German business cycle
Carstensen, Kai; Heinrich, Markus; Reif, Magnus; … - 2017
for Germany preselected from a broader set using the Elastic Net soft-thresholding rule. The three states represent …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011646914
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An evaluation of the index of leading indicators as predictor of cyclical turning points using Markov switching model as filter
Lahiri, Kajal; Wang, Jiazhuo G. - 1993
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10000862469
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Les marchés financiers anticipent-ils les retournements conjoncturels?
Bellone, Benoît; Gautier, Erwan; Coent, Sébastien Le - In: Economie & prévision : EP 172 (2006) 1, pp. 83-99
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003375072
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Detecting and predicting economic accelerations, recessions, and normal growth periods in real-time
Proaño Acosta, Christian - 2013
auf makroökonomische als auch auf Finanzmarktvariablen für Deutschland. Die empirischen Ergebnisse unterstreichen nicht …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010240802
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Extracting, analysing and using cyclical information
Pagan, Adrian R.; Harding, Don - 2001
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10001639094
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Business cycle dating and forecasting with real-time Swiss GDP data
Glocker, Christian; Wegmueller, Philipp - In: Empirical economics : a journal of the Institute for … 58 (2020) 1, pp. 73-105
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012216360
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Detecting turning points in the inflation cycle
Hoeberichts, Marco; End, Jan-Willem van den - 2024
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014502246