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Inflation in advanced economies is low by historical standards but there is no threat of deflation. Slower economic growth is caused by supply-side constraints rather than low inflation. Below-the-target inflation does not damage the reputation of central banks. Thus, central banks should not...
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to output. This incentive leads to higher than desired inflation. One solution to this credibility problem is to give … independence thus reduces society's credibility problem but this may be at the expense of less flexible countercyclical monetary … policy. The aim of this paper is to find the correct balance between credibility and flexibility, ie the optimal degree of …
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In a large sample of countries across different geographic regions and over a long period of time, we find limited country- and variable-specific effects of central bank transparency on forecast accuracy and their dispersion among a large set of professional forecasts of financial and...
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The empirical literature on central banking has found measures of central bank independence/conservatism to be negatively correlated with inflation and inflation variance across countries. But the cross-country approach has been criticised for its focus on policy outcomes instead of policies,...
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