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We propose a dynamic factor model with time-varying parameters and stochastic volatility to analyze the relationship between global factors and country-specific capital flow dynamics. Studying a global sample of 43 countries from 1994 until 2015, we show that global co-movement of macroeconomic,...
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We present estimates of finance-adjusted output gaps which incorporate the information on the domestic and global credit cycles for a sample of emerging market economies (EMEs). Following recent BIS research, we use a state-space representation of an HP filter augmented with a measure of the...
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This study is an endeavor to empirically examine the long run impact of financial globalization on output volatility in … for estimation purpose. The results of the study reveal that in overall Asia and Central Asia, financial globalization has … globalization is reported in the context of three sub-samples i.e. East Asia, South Asia and West Asia during reference period. The …
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the world output loss that materialized during the great recession would have been 13% lower in absence of GFU shocks. We … after GFU shocks, the larger the world output contraction is. …
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achieves set-identiÖcation via a combination of narrative, sign, ratio, and correlation restrictions. We Önd that the world …, the larger the world output contraction is. …
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dynamics of co-movement and compare recent developments to earlier episodes such as the early era of financial globalization …
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