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We examine the connection between tail risk — as measured in Kelly and Jiang (2014) — and the cross-section of expected returns. In conditional predictive regression systems and vector-autoregressions of the market portfolio and the long- and shoresides of the Fama-French factor portfolios,...
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We examine if extreme weather exposure impacts firms’ cost of equity. Motivated by a consumption-based asset pricing model with heterogeneous agents, we reveal the existence of an extreme weather risk premium in the cross-section of stock returns. In the period from 1995 to 2019, domestic U.S....
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This paper revisits the fit of disaster risk models where a representative agent has recursive preferences and the … probability of a macroeconomic disaster changes over time. We calibrate the model as in Wachter (2013) and perform two sets of …
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Eine geschlossene ökonomische Theorie der Naturkatastrophen existiert bislang nicht. Arbeiten, die sich dieses Themas … zeitlicher Abgrenzung - letzteres im Sinne der Einwirkzeit nach Auftreten der Katastrophe - führt zu unterschiedlichen …
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