Narrow search
Showing 1 - 10 of 5,114
Cover Image
Mind the (convergence) gap: bond predictability strikes back!
Berardi, Andrea; Markovich, Michael; Plazzi, Alberto; … - 2019 - This version: August 29, 2019
We show that the difference between the natural rate of interest and the current level of monetary policy stance, which we label Convergence Gap (CG), contains information that is valuable for bond predictability. Adding CG in forecasting regressions of bond excess returns significantly raises...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012134247
Cover Image
Predictions of short-term rates and the expectations hypothesis
Guidolin, Massimo; Thornton, Daniel L. - In: International journal of forecasting 34 (2018) 4, pp. 636-664
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012031076
Cover Image
Predictive power of dividend yields and interest rates for stock returns in South Asia : evidence from a bias-corrected estimator
Rahman, Md Lutfur; Shamsuddin, Abul; Lee, Doowon - In: International review of economics & finance : IREF 62 (2019), pp. 267-286
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012205550
Cover Image
Marktbasierte Zinsprognosen mit Regime-Switching-Modellen
Ahrens, Ralf - 2000
Untersuchung zeigt der Autor Möglichkeiten der Prognose von Geld- und Kapitalmarktzinssätzen auf. Im Rahmen der dem Konzept der … Markterwartungen, die sich in Zinssätzen und in der Zinsstruktur widerspiegeln, unter Anwendung ökonometrischer Verfahren extrahiert … denen Zinssätze und Zinsstruktur als sogenannte Regime-Switching-Prozesse modelliert werden. -- Im ersten Hauptteil der …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011402042
Cover Image
Forecasting interest rates and inflation : the use of nonlinear mean reversion in the term structure
Seo, Byeongseon - In: Economic papers 5 (2002) 2, pp. 20-51
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10001732612
Cover Image
Marktbasierte Zinsprognosen mit Regime-Switching-Modellen
Ahrens, Ralf - 2000
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10001480762
Cover Image
Mind the (convergence) gap : bond predictability strikes back!
Berardi, Andrea; Markovich, Michael; Plazzi, Alberto; … - In: Management science : journal of the Institute for … 67 (2021) 12, pp. 7888-7911
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012815790
Cover Image
Interest rate forecasts, state price densities and risk premium from Euribor options
Ivanova, Vesela; Puigvert Gutiérrez, Josep Maria - In: Journal of banking & finance 48 (2014), pp. 210-223
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010508142
Cover Image
Interest rates modeling and forecasting : do macroeconomic factors matter?
Kuczera, Adam - 2017
Recent studies documented a sufficient forecasting performance of shadow-rate models in the low yields environment. Moreover, it has been shown that including the macro-variables into the shadow-rate models further improves the results. We build on these findings and evaluate for the U.S....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011659284
Cover Image
Stylised properties of the interest rate term structure under the benchmark approach
Fergusson, Kevin; Platen, Eckhard - 2014
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011344800