Economic research of the last decade linking macroeconomic fundamentals to asset prices has revealed evidence that standard intertemporal asset pricing theory is not successful in explaining (unconditional) ¯rst moments of asset market characteristics such as the risk-free interest rate, equity...

The globalization process leads to increasing synchronization of business cycle among different countries. As a consequence, many policy makers and Central Banks are afraid of vulnerabilities of their country arising from external risk drivers. In this paper we develop a multi-regime global VAR...

Over the last two decades the intensity of credit standards' tightening during economic contractions has exceeded their easing during expansions among euro area banks. This mechanism is fed by the boom-bust cycle of credit that, as much research has shown, is linked to financial instability with...

By contrasting endogenous growth models with facts, one is frequently confronted with the prediction that levels of economic variables, such as R&D expenditures, imply lasting effects on the growth rate of an economy. As stylized facts show, the research intensity in most advanced countries has...

This paper introduces a Banking-Macro Model and estimates the linkages through a Multi-Regime VAR (MRVAR). We introduce a dynamic model which is akin to the Brunnermeier and Sannikov (BS) model (2010). The banking sector is exposed to instability due to adverse movements of asset prices and...

In this paper, we test whether German public debt has been sustainable by resorting to a test proposed by Bohn (1998). We apply non-parametric and semi-parametric regressions with time depending coefficients. This test shows that the mean of the coefficient relevant for sustainability has been...

The experience of the Asian currency and financial crisis in the years 1997-8 encouraged economists to develop some open economy nonlinear macro models. Such models allow for nonlinearities – studying the effects of contractionary currency devaluation in contrast to the standard model of...

Introduction -- Money, Bonds and Economic Activity: Money, Bonds and Interest Rates -- Term Structure of Interest Rates -- The Credit Market and Economic Activity: Theories on Credit Market, Credit Risk and Economic Activity -- Empirical Tests on Credit Market and Economic Activity -- The Stock...