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tariffs, using the US June 2020 tariff announcement and EU retaliation as illustrations. …
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We adopt an unobserved components time series model to extract financial cycles for the United States and the five largest euro area countries over the period 1970 to 2014. We find that credit, the credit-to-GDP ratio and house prices have medium-term cycles which share a few common statistical...
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that offsetting effects on the newly imposed tariffs were substantial. …
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