We derive the theoretical relation between the term structure of implied variance and the expected excess returns of the underlying asset. Adopting three alternative approaches to compile the variables representing the information on the implied volatility index level and term structure, we show...

I investigate the relation between option prices and daily stock return serial correlation. I demonstrate that the variance ratio, calculated as the ratio of realized to implied stock return variance, has both a contemporaneous and predictive relation with stock return serial correlation. The...

We show that there will be expected momentum in stock returns if there are informed and uninformed investors, and if informed investors know the mean of the stocks future fundamental value. We use analysts estimates to construct a truncated valuation formula and find not only that stock prices...

We investigate the type of information text sentiment uncovers using earnings conference call transcripts and find that text sentiment fails to explain returns during intraday calls, while average trading volume and return volatility are higher during the call. This finding indicates that...