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Accuracy of German federal election forecasts, 2013 and 2017
Graefe, Andreas - In: International journal of forecasting 35 (2019) 3, pp. 868-877
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012305185
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Origins of Presidential poll aggregation : a perspective from 2004 to 2012
Wang, Samuel S.-H. - In: International journal of forecasting 31 (2015) 3, pp. 898-909
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011474634
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Political uncertainty and analysts' forecasts : international evidence
Boubakri, Narjess; Bouslimi, Lobna; Zhong, Rui - In: Journal of financial stability 59 (2022), pp. 1-15
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013284618
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Aggregating qualitative district-level campaign assessments to forecast election results : evidence from Japan
Umeda, Michio - In: International journal of forecasting 39 (2023) 2, pp. 956-966
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014465169
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Accuracy Gains from Conservative Forecasting : Tests Using Variations of 19 Econometric Models to Predict 154 Elections in 10 Countries
Graefe, Andreas; Green, Kesten C.; Armstrong, J. Scott - 2019
forecasting to established election forecasting models.Usefulness. Election forecasters can substantially improve the accuracy of …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014108710
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Are Certain Elections More Predictable than Others? A Series of Bivariate Analyses of the Impact of Electoral Characteristics Upon the Predictability of British National Elections...
Tudor, Jack - 2020
total mean absolute error exhibited by pre-election polls conducted for the twenty-three studied elections and six specified …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014097632
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The electoral process in the Unified Germany
Fuchs, Dieter; Rohrschneider, Robert - 1997
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10000630717
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Incumbency, party identity and governmental lead : evidence for heterogeneous incumbency effects for Germany
Ade, Florian; Freier, Ronny; Odendahl, Christian - 2011
Do incumbents in an election have an advantage, and if so, are these advantages heterogeneous across parties or …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009580347
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Wählen als rationale Entscheidung : die Modellierung von Politikreaktionen im Mehrparteiensystem
Thurner, Paul W. - 1998
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010223750
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The mayor's advantage: causal evidence on incumbency effects in German mayoral elections
Freier, Ronny - In: European journal of political economy 40 (2015) 1, pp. 16-30
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011535649