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Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008689018
We document that investors can actually profit from the contemporaneous link between earnings accuracy and recommendation profitability (Loh and Mian (2006)). Differentiating between "able" and "lucky" analysts we suggest an implementable, i.e. look-ahead bias free, trading strategy that yields...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008696828
Analysts providing more accurate earnings forecasts also issue more profitable recommendations. We demonstrate how investors can profit from this contemporaneous link by differentiating between "able" and "lucky" analysts. In line with previous studies, we find that past track records alone are...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009705474
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The shape of the flow-performance relationship in the hedge fund industry is not constant over time, but varies across market conditions. We employ a switching regression approach to explain quarterly hedge fund flows, based on two regimes where either inflows or outflows are dominating,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013074940
We employ a dataset of Europe-wide-sold and US-sold equity mutual funds to investigate how flows of assets relate to past performance in the past decade and a half. We show that the flow-performance relationship changes in time and differs in Europe and US. We find that the typical for the US,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012897981
This paper analyzes empirically the relation between financial analysts' recommendation profitability and their forecast accuracy and shows that contrary to intuition the group of most successful recommendations is not associated with the highest accuracy on average. The finding that best...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012973531
This study compares a measure of market-share changes with net flows to revisit the fund flow-performance relationship from the viewpoint of the heteroscedasticity of fund flows. We decompose market-share changes (net flows) into inflow and outflow shares and other parts (inflow and outflow) to...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013019297
We investigate the relationship between net inflow to mutual bond funds that invest in emerging market economies (EMEs) and the past performance of these funds. Our main finding is that EME bond funds display a convex flow-performance relationship. In other words, past performance is a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012929173