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We derive Taylor rates for those CEE-EU countries which are not part of the Eurozone. The degree of heterogeneity decreased tremendously over time (2005 - 2015). Nevertheless, the business cycles are still not fully synchronized. As a consequence, joining the Eurozone seems to be premature and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011385213
We compare the convergence with German monetary policy of the Balkan and Mediterranean country candidates for EU …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010518130
We propose using a simple Taylor rule to evaluate business cycle convergence of the Czech Republic, Hungary, and Poland … with the Eurozone. Our findings indicate an ongoing convergence of those CEE countries to the Eurozone, but with … instabilities and heterogeneity between the countries. Especially Poland has shown a high degree of convergence in recent years. But …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012026337
In this paper we estimate the effect of government consumption shocks on GDP using a panel of 21 developing economies … consumption shocks are usually followed by monetary policy tightening in developing economies with flexible regimes. Our … hand, we find that government consumption shocks imply higher multipliers in developing economies during fixed regimes …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011659285
In this paper we estimate the effect of government consumption shocks on GDP using a panel of 21 developing economies … consumption shocks are usually followed by monetary policy tightening in developing economies with flexible regimes. Our … hand, we find that government consumption shocks have better multipliers in developing economies during fixed regimes …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011620815
This paper presents a novel method to estimate the depreciation rate of durable goods using a combination of identified marginal and average spending shares. We apply our method to Chinese spending responses to disposable income changes induced by monetary policy in 2008-2009. The marginal...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012818789
to account for anticipation effects on consumption. We investigate this using high-frequency spending and balance sheet … with a standard buffer-stock consumption model, and implies that it is less effective to target stimulus to low liquidity …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013361501
This paper evaluates the marginal propensity to consume (MPC) out of the 2020 fiscal stimulus payments using high-frequency, transaction-level data for a sample of low-income cardholders, many of whom are unbanked. Consumers' MPC out of non-stimulus income and their MPC out of tax refunds are...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012705045
We empirically assess whether a usually expected negative response of private consumption and private investment to a … HP-based; and iii) the Hamilton (2018)-based. We find that: i) increases in government consumption have a Keynesian … effect on real per capita private consumption; ii) there is a positive effect of tax increases on private consumption when …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012504460
This paper reconsiders the role of macroeconomic shocks and policies in determining the Great Recession and the subsequent recovery in the US. The Great Recession was mainly caused by a large demand shock and by the ZLB on the interest rate policy. In contrast with previous findings, the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011434680