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The role of credit in predicting US recessions
Ponka, Harri - In: Journal of forecasting 36 (2017) 5, pp. 469-482
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011860598
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Output gaps, inflation and financial cycles in the United Kingdom
Melolinna, Marko; Tóth, Máté - 2016
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011443353
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Inflation dynamics in the Netherlands : a linear and non-linear analysis and the influence of economic conditions
Ruth, Floris van - 2014
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010393920
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Output gaps, inflation and financial cycles in the UK
Melolinna, Marko; Tóth, Máté - In: Empirical economics : a journal of the Institute for … 56 (2019) 3, pp. 1039-1070
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012041692
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Understanding low wage growth in the euro area and European countries
Nickel, Christiane (ed.); Bobeica, Elena (ed.);  … - 2019
Despite notable improvements in the labour market since 2013, wage growth in the euro area was subdued and substantially overpredicted in 2013-17. This paper summarises the findings of an ESCB expert group on the reasons for low wage growth and provides comparable analyses on wage developments...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012063794
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Did financial factors matter during the Great Recession?
Paccagnini, Alessia - In: Economics letters 174 (2019), pp. 26-30
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012121004
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Rationality of announcements, business cycle asymmetry, and predictability of revisions : the case of French GDP
Mogliani, Matteo; Ferrière, Thomas - 2016
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011578405
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Would DSGE models have predicted the Great Recession in Austria?
Breuss, Fritz - 2016
story-telling and policy analysis were in the forefront of applications since its inception, the forecasting perspective of … models are inferior in ex-ante forecasting a crisis. Surprisingly however, it turned out that not all but those models which … only detect the turning point of the Austrian business cycle early in 2008 but they also succeeded in forecasting the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011561187
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Dynamic asymmetries in house price cycles : a generalized smooth transition model
Canepa, Alessandra; Zanetti Chini, Emilio - In: Journal of empirical finance 37 (2016), pp. 91-103
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011662961
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Forecasting US recessions : the role of sentiment
Christiansen, Charlotte; Eriksen, Jonas Nygaard; … - In: Journal of banking & finance 49 (2014), pp. 459-468
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010509261