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inflation is inertial. Microeconomic data indicate that firms change prices frequently. We formulate and estimate a model which … resolves this apparent micro - macro conflict. Our model is consistent with post-war U.S. evidence on inflation inertia even …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011584699
This study sought to identify the traditional and institutional inflation variables responsible for inflation … year. The study therefore concluded that inflation in Nigeria, during the studied period, was driven by the pass-through of … import prices to domestic prices via markup pricing by firms. This was aided by domestic inflation persistence. It is …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011661500
When inflation picks up, central banks are most concerned that the de-anchoring of inflation expectations and the … ignition of wage-price spirals will trigger inflation dynamic instability. However, such scenarios do not materialize in the … updated according to the actual inflation process, with indexed wages, and persistent inflation shocks. In these cases, a more …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014478734
This paper implements recursive techniques to estimate the equilibrium level of M2 velocity and to forecast inflation …-time forecasts of inflation and evaluate the performance of the forecasts obtained from the alternative models. We find that while a … P* model assuming a constant equilibrium velocity does not provide accurate inflation forecasts in the 1990s, a model …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014208739
The Swiss National Bank abolished the exchange rate floor versus the Euro in January 2015. Based on a synthetic matching framework, we analyse the impact of this unexpected (and therefore exogenous) shock on the stock market. The results reveal a significant level shift (decline) in asset prices...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011847151
New multivariate panel cointegration methods are used to analyze nominal exchange rates and prices in four major economies in Europe; France, Germany, Italy and the United Kingdom for the post-Bretton Woods period. We test for purchasing power parity between these four countries and find that the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011584764
monetary regimes making inflation stationary, permanent fluctuations in M1 velocity uniquely reflect, to a close approximation …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012390026
We find that observed cross-country price differences primarily reflect regional market segmentation occurring within countries. Using a model of price-setting subject to costly search, we show that identification of national versus regional segmentation requires augmenting price data with...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012897219
I document that US financial uncertainty shocks, measured by an unexpected increase in VIX, have a substantial impact on the output of emerging market economies (EMEs) without material impact on US output during the last two decades. To understand this puzzling phenomenon, I propose an...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012980162
Motivated by stylized facts pointing to a dominant role of imported inputs in transmitting external price shocks to domestic prices, this paper zooms in to study the pass-through of imported input costs to domestic producer prices. Our approach constructs effective input price indices from...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012996091