A two-factor model explains returns for a variety of test portfolios, including those based of CAPM beta and those underlying factors in extant pricing models. The two-factor model involves the market factor and a factor based on firms’ fundamentals that has the feature of providing a hedge in...

Under accounting principles, the recognition of earnings is path dependent and the path depends on risk resolution: Under the so-called realization principle, earnings are not booked until uncertainty is resolved. In asset pricing terms, the principle means that earnings cannot be recognized...

This paper documents that the earnings yield and book-to-price combine to predict equity returns in a way that is consistent with the rational pricing of risk. It is well known that earnings yields predict returns in the cross-section, consistent with standard formulas that show that the...

Historical cost accounting deals with uncertainty by deferring the recognition of earnings until the uncertainty has largely been resolved. Such accounting affects both earnings and book value, and produces expected earnings growth deemed to be at risk. This paper shows that the...

Calculations of the Implied Cost of Capital (ICC) typically fail on validation criteria. This paper provides an explanation. Though nominally working with accounting-based valuation models, the standard approach fails to recognize accounting principles that govern the accounting. Those...

Firm size proxies for the risk to expected earnings. Typically, smaller firms have higher expected earnings growth, but that growth has higher risk of not being realized. This explains the well-documented return premium associated with small firms. However, at times it is large firms where...

A two-factor Intertemporal Capital Asset Pricing Model (ICAPM) explains returns to risk associated with fundamentals with zero alpha. In contrast, the model identifies non-zero alphas for returns involving price movements rather than fundamentals, such as price momentum and price drifts....

This paper documents that the earnings yield and book-to-price combine to predict equity returns in a way that is consistent with the rational pricing of risk. It is well known that earnings yields predict returns in the cross-section, consistent with standard formulas that show that the...