Showing 1 - 10 of 2,672
We explore the long and short run relationship between private consumption, disposable income and housing and financial wealth approximated by price indices for a panel of industrialized countries. Consumption, income and wealth are cointegrated in their common, but not in their idiosyncratic...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003823967
We investigate the long run relationship between private consumption, disposable income and wealth approximated by equity and house price indices for a panel of 15 industrialized countries. Consumption, income and wealth are cointegrated in their common components. The impact of house prices...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008779665
uncertainty using a global vector autoregressive (GVAR) model. The indices measure the dispersion of forecasts that results from … parameter uncertainty in the GVAR. Relying on the error correction representation of the model, we distinguish between measures …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012233069
between countries using a global vector autoregressive (GVAR) model. Over the period 2000Q1-2020Q4, our global index is able … the COVID-19 pandemic. Global spillover effects are quantified through a novel GVAR-based decomposition of country …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014281497
We examine the dynamic impact of household borrowing on the trade balance using data from 33 developing countries and 36 developed countries over the 1980-2017 period. Our findings suggest that the impact of household borrowing on the trade balance is by and large negative, both in the short and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012534684
This paper empirically examines the long-run pass through of the official exchange rates into trade balance in Nigeria by means of threshold cointegration and asymmetric error correction modeling. The study provides evidence for non-linear cointegration between our variables of interest. The...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011449671
This study assesses the response of the trade balance to exchange rate fluctuations across a large number of countries. Fixed-effects regressions are estimated for 87 countries on annual data from 1994 to 2010. The trade balance improves significantly after a real depreciation, and to a similar...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009739791
Estimated DSGE models tend to ascribe a significant and often predominant part of a country's trade balance (TB) dynamics to domestic drivers ("shocks"), suggesting foreign factors to be only of secondary importance. This paper revisits the result based on more agnostic approaches to shock...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012299292
We estimate a three-region (DE-REA-RoW) structural macroeconomic model, and we provide a counterfactual on how nominal exchange rate flexibility would have affected the German trade balance (TB) by simulating the shocks of the estimated model under a counterfactual flexible exchange rate regime....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011983671
Modern consumer theories are built upon the premise of the forward looking behavior of households. While most of the empirical studies at micro level are based on Euler equation, there have been few to estimate the household consumption function and test the implication of forward looking...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011539196