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financial forecasting. This paper deals with the application of SVR in volatility forecasting. Based on a recurrent SVR, a GARCH … 30, 2005. The experiment shows that, under both varying and fixed forecasting schemes, the SVR-based GARCH outperforms … examined to the free parameters. Keywords: recurrent support vector regression ; GARCH model ; volatility forecasting …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003636113
financial forecasting. This paper deals with the application of SVR in volatility forecasting. Based on a recurrent SVR, a GARCH … 30, 2005. The experiment shows that, under both varying and fixed forecasting schemes, the SVR-based GARCH outperforms …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012966267
In most of the empirical research on capital markets, stock market indexes are used as proxies for the aggregate market development. In previous work we found that a particular market segment might be less efficient than the whole market and hence easier to forecast. In this paper we extend the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009696691
In this paper, a crisis index for the oil price shock is defined and a neural network model is specified for the prediction of the crisis index. This paper contributes to the literature in three ways. First, we build an early warning system for crude oil price. Although the oil price became one...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012942887
The literature on exchange rate forecasting is vast. Many researchers have tested whether implications of theoretical … literature on exchange rate forecasting is scarce. This article fills this gap by testing whether non-linear time series models … naive random walk in exchange rate forecasting contest …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013008655
In many macroeconomic forecasting applications factor models are used to cope with large datasets. This study aligns … variational autoencoders with macroeconomic factor modeling and proposes an extension to adapt this framework for forecasting … forecasting power. The results suggest significant improvements in the forecasting accuracy of four major US macroeconomic time …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013239712
This paper analyses inflation forecasting power of artificial neural networks with alternative univariate time series … models for Turkey. The forecasting accuracy of the models is compared in terms of both static and dynamic forecasts for the …, provide better one-step ahead forecasting performance. However, unobserved components model turns out to be the best performer …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009125642
Neural Network (GRNN) and compare its performance with a variety of forecasting techniques, including Multi … model is used for benchmark comparison. Our findings show that GRNN not only has a higher degree of forecasting accuracy but …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014150550
explain risk premium. Investigating whether these factors are useful in forecasting stock returns remains active research in …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014235825
The topic of this chapter is forecasting with nonlinear models. First, a number of well-known nonlinear models are … linear model. There exist relatively large studies in which the forecasting performance of nonlinear models is compared with …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014023698