lower exchange rate bound vis-à-vis the Euro. This unexpected change of regime induced a temporary uncertainty about future … policy as a natural experiment and exploiting the continuous nature of a micro-level business tendency survey, we identify … the source of uncertainty and disentangle first and second moment effects. We find that price uncertainty affects …

impact of uncertainty and real options on the decision of working time, i.e. we examines the determinants of employment and …

We find that macroeconomic uncertainty plays a significant role in U.S. monetary policy. First, we construct a measure … of uncertainty as felt by policymakers at the time of making their rate-setting decisions. This measure is derived from a … of being in a high-uncertainty regime. Second, we estimate a monetary policy reaction function that, apart from …

The effects of sentiment should be strongest during times of heightened valuation uncertainty. As such, we document a … significant amplifying role for market uncertainty in the relation between sentiment and aggregate investment. A one …-standard-deviation increase in uncertainty more than doubles the effect of sentiment on investment. Moreover, allowing uncertainty …

I explore how and and to what extent policy uncertainty can account for the observed long-run cross-country differences …-related investment cost is uncertain. Holding the average one-period investment cost constant, policy uncertainty leads to a higher … capital price and subsequently to lower levels of long-run aggregate investment and output. Policy uncertainty also makes …

earnings deter risk-averse individuals. In this paper I analyse the expected value and variance of income in self …-employment entry and exit under risk are estimated, which include a standard risk aversion parameter. The model predicts that the …

-coded administrative wage data from the German IAB Employment Sample (IABS). We then relate these robust measures of earnings risk to the … risk attitudes of individuals working in these occupations. We find that willingness to take risk is positively correlated …

We compare seven established risk elicitation methods and investigate how they robustly explain eleven kinds of risky … behavior with 760 individuals. Risk measures are positively correlated; however, their performance in explaining behavior is … heterogeneous and, therefore, difficult to assess ex ante. To close this knowledge gap, greater diversification across risk measures …

investment's Value-at-Risk as a reasonable calculation of the worst threat an action appears to make possible, and its return … offer. In exploring the extension of the Value-at-Risk approach from applications to investments in financial assets to … applications to investments in real assets, the properties of Value-at-Risk as a risk measure are reviewed. Recognizing that Value-at-Risk …

This paper measures risk in the present value of workers’ remaining lifetime earnings. Building upon a common earnings … risk is only moderately correlated with those annual risks and is a much stronger predictor of several major life decisions …. Unlike annual risk, it is often larger for relatively affluent groups. It also has many other covariates, including …