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bias (systematic mistakes) or noise (unsystematic mistakes). We develop a framework for quantifying the level of noise in … structure for individual expectations. Using data from professional forecasters, we find that the magnitude of noise is large …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014308585
Using a unique data set of individual professional forecasts, we document disagreement about the future path of monetary policy, particularly at longer horizons. The stark differences in short rate forecasts imply strong disagreement about the risk-return trade-off of longer-term bonds....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012249767
the quality of their vehicles. Owners of bad cars will try to sell them to unsuspecting buyers while owners of good cars … will hold on to theirs. Consequently, the quality of traded automobiles should be sub-average. In contrast to previous work … quality using a sample consisting of all 1985 cars registered in the Swiss canton of Basle-City over the period 1985-1991. Our …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014118352
The Australian Government launched the My School website in 2010 to provide standardised information about the quality … Victoria to estimate the effect of the publication of school quality information on property prices. We use a difference …-in-difference approach to estimate the causal effect of the release of information about high-quality and low-quality schools relative to …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011589131
The Australian Government launched the My School website in 2010 to provide standardised information about the quality … Victoria to estimate the effect of the publication of school quality information on property prices. We use a difference …-in-difference approach to estimate the causal effect of the release of information about high-quality and low-quality schools relative to …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011595222
In the Mexican Peso crisis 1994/95, the lack of readily available information, particularly regarding monetary aggregates, has often been commented on. This paper analyzes empirically whether information disparity with respect to economic fundamentals contributed to the crisis. Using historical...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014075594
In this paper we survey the theoretical and empirical literatures on market liquidity. We organize both literatures around three basic questions: (a) how to measure illiquidity, (b) how illiquidity relates to underlying market imperfections and other asset characteristics, and (c) how...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014025359
Decisions to donate time or money for charitable purposes are typically seen as make-or-buy decisions, implying that there should be a clear distinction between individuals engaging in one of these two forms of giving and that this distinction should be somehow linked to opportunity costs. But...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009570044
Information economics has emerged as the primary theoretical lens for framing financing decisions in firm R&D investment. Successful outcomes of R&D projects are either ex-ante impossible to predict or the information is asymmetrically distributed between inventors and investors. As a result,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009270085
Information economics has emerged as the primary theoretical lens for framing financing decisions in firm R&D investment. Successful outcomes of R&D projects are either ex-ante impossible to predict or the information is asymmetrically distributed between inventors and investors. As a result,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009270093