Juodis, Artūras; Kucinskas, Simas - In: Quantitative economics : QE ; journal of the … 14 (2023) 2, pp. 609-650
bias (systematic mistakes) or noise (unsystematic mistakes). We develop a framework for quantifying the level of noise in … structure for individual expectations. Using data from professional forecasters, we find that the magnitude of noise is large …