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Die vorliegende Studie wurde im Arbeitsbereich "Konjunktur und Finanzmärkte" erstellt und im Dezember 2005 abgeschlossen. Auftraggeber war das Bundesministerium der Finanzen. Gegenstand der Studie sind die Auswirkungen von Vermögenspreisschwankungen auf die gesamtwirtschaftliche Aktivität. In...
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In this paper we investigate transmission and spillovers of local and foreign economic policy uncertainty shocks to unemployment in two largest economic regions in the world - the United States (US) and the Euro area (EA). For this purpose we deploy Bayesian Markov-switching structural vector...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011437769
-switching autoregressive (MS-AR) model. The results show that the MF-MS-VAR fits the different recession regimes, and provides out …-of-sample forecasts of recession probabilities which are more accurate than those derived from the MS-VAR and MS-AR models. The results …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011443536
-switching autoregressive (MS-AR) model. Their results show that the MF-MS-VAR fits the different recession regimes, and provides out …-of-sample forecasts of recession probabilities which are more accurate than those derived from the MS-VAR and MS-AR models. The results …
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