Assessing the migration potential and predicting future migration streams are among the most relevant, yet least well understood topics of migration research. The usual approach taken to address aggregate-level prediction problems is to fit ad hoc specifications to historical data, and to...

A high degree of cyclical synchronization between the new EU member states (NMS) from central and eastern Europe and the euro area is generally seen as a prerequisite for successful EMU enlargement. This paper investigates comovements between NMS and the euro area. We first establish stylized...

A high degree of cyclical synchronization between the new EU member states (NMS) from Central and Eastern Europe and the euro area is considered to be a prerequisite for successful enlargement of the European Monetary Union. In this paper, we establish stylized facts on economic linkages between...

This paper extends the work of Kaminsky and Schmukler (2003) to the Baltic and Central Eastern European new Member States of the European Union, to test if the same short-run increase in cyclical volatility arising from financial integration is observed in this specific sample of "emerging...

The main aim of this paper is to examine the exchange rate behaviour of a group of four transitional, EU accession countries, with a view to making policy recommendations regarding their full accession to the European Monetary Union. We employ a dynamic OLS panel estimator to investigate the...