In this study, we estimate the multi-period Value at Risk (VaR) of oil future prices under a generalized autoregressive conditional heteroscedasticity with a skewed-t residuals (GARCH-ST) model, which is developed to account for the stylized facts of oil futures returns, such as serial...

This paper revisits the asymmetric price transmission in the U.S. oil-gasoline markets by a multiple threshold error-correction model. Unlike the previous studies, the regimes and thresholds are endogenously determined by sequential model selection. A nonlinear asymmetric pattern is discovered...