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Today we live in a post-truth and highly digitalized era characterized by a flow of (mis-) information around the world. Identifying the impact of this information on stock markets and forecasting stock returns and volatilities has become a much more difficult task, perhaps almost impossible....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012039605
these news components. The authors propose an alternative MP shock identification approach to analyze the MP effects on the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012658788
the real economy, I find that the asset purchase shock has significant effects on consumer and professional expectations …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012022250
Bayesian VAR on monthly US macroeconomic and financial data, we first identify the US QE shock. The identified US QE shock is … expansionary US QE shock has significant effects on financial variables in EMEs. It leads to an exchange rate appreciation, a …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011786694
The 2008 financial crisis has shown that financial busts can influence the real economy. However, there is less evidence to suggest that the same holds for financial booms. Using a Markov-Switching vector autoregressive model and euro area data, I show that financial booms tend to be less...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011617592
In this paper, I use high-frequency financial market estimates to identify the monetary policy shock in a non …-recursive 133 variable FAVAR. All restrictions are imposed exclusively on impact, and only on financial market variables. Using the … scheme does not fall back on any of the standard (FA)VAR identifying assumptions, it confirms the classical finding that …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013079937
This paper has adopted a Bayesian FAVAR approach to examine the monetary transmission mechanism in North Macedonia. The …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013549755
policy shock is ambiguous in both the short- and long-run, and depends on the nature of the mispricing. Subsequently, we … contractionary monetary policy shock in fact lowers stock prices beyond what is implied by the response of their underlying …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011526074
's effect on fundamentals. The estimation results from a bivariate VAR-GARCH model suggest that the Fed does not respond to the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010395968
investigate to what extent the horizon of guidance matters for its macroeconomic effects, and find that the more forward the shock …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012214409