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and statistically significant real-time improvements in forecast accuracy. The preferred MIDAS model reduces the MSPE by … as much as 16 percent compared with the no-change forecast and has statistically significant directional accuracy as high …
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expansion periods in USA. Additionally we propose an adaptive neuro-fuzzy inference system with triangular membership function …
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only USA but the rest of the world. The wrong government policies and the regulations in bond market among others lead to … order to predict the economic recession or expansion periods in USA. The first one is the Logit model, the second is the … in-sample period 1913-2005 and we test the models in the out-of sample period 2006-2009. The estimation results indicate …
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In this study two approaches are applied for the prediction of the economic recession or expansion periods in USA. The … of the two approaches is evaluated during the out-of sample period 2007-2010. The estimation results show that the ANFIS …
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Publications are a vital element of any scientist’s career. It is not only the number of media outlets but aslo the quality of published research that enters decisions on jobs, salary, tenure, etc. Academic ranking scales in economics and other disciplines are, therefore, widely used in...
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