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We use the Bayesian method introduced by Gallant and McCulloch (2009) to estimate consumption-based asset pricing models featuring smooth ambiguity preferences. We rely on semi-nonparametric estimation of a flexible auxiliary model in our structural estimation. Based on the market and aggregate...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011780610
renewables, respectively. The return distributions resulting from this analysis are then used as an input to a portfolio …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009736649
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003510413
Using high-frequency data, we decompose the time-varying beta for stocks into beta for continuous systematic risk and beta for discontinuous systematic risk. Estimated discontinuous betas for S&P500 constituents between 2003 and 2011 generally exceed the corresponding continuous betas. We...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011506397
The problem of optimal wealth allocation is solved under the assumptions that interest rates are stochastic and stock returns are predictable with observed and unobserved factors. The stock risk premium is taken to be an affine function of the predictive variables and the stock return volatility...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013043954
metals. Our out of sample comparative performance analysis indicates that investors impression of gains and losses affects …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014246136
We implement a long-horizon static and dynamic portfolio allocation involving a risk-free and a risky asset. This model is calibrated at a quarterly frequency for ten European countries. We also use maximum-likelihood estimates and Bayesian estimates to account for parameter uncertainty. We find...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008797745
In this paper, we propose a multivariate market model with returns assumed to follow a multivariate normal tempered stable distribution. This distribution, defined by a mixture of the multivariate normal distribution and the tempered stable subordinator, is consistent with two stylized facts...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009576319
The recent crisis made it evident that replicating the performance of a benchmark is not a sufficient goal to meet the expectations of usually risk-averse investors. The manager should also consider that the investor are seeking for a downside protection when the benchmark performs poorly and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013103103
The Black-Litterman model aims to enhance asset allocation decisions by overcoming the problems of mean-variance portfolio optimization. We propose a sample based version of the Black-Litterman model and implement it on a multi-asset portfolio consisting of global stocks, bonds, and commodity...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013065986