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We examine the long-run pricing relationship among crude oil prices at the North Sea (Brent) and Cushing (WTI) delivery points. The Brent-WTI location basis differential is stable until December 2009, but it widens to record levels in the next two years. We report on recent changes in the crude...
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In this paper, the impact of the accounting rule (SFAS No.8) on stock market is analyzed with a new model, which is based on the 3-factor model of Fama-French (1993), the EGARCH-type volatility of Nelson (1991) and non-Normal distribution of SSAEPD of Zhu and Zinde-Walsh (2009). Fama-French 25...
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Time series evidence on exchange rates has been unable to reject the random walk hypothesis. A simple structural model that accounts for target zone nonlinearities provides conclusive evidence of mean reversion in EMS exchange rates.
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Option prices seem to behave in ways inconsistent with the Black-Scholes model. Implied volatility varies with the strike price in a parabolic shape that is often called the volatility 'smile.' My objective in this paper is to identify implied probability distributions that might explain this...
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