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to match past inflation. However, the present paper proposes a much larger effect by using the job finding rate as the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010379902
The recent surge in inflation led many unions and firms to alter their bargaining and wage-setting policies. Using … during periods of high and low inflation. We find state dependence along the extensive and intensive margins: the average … implications of state-dependent wage setting for the long-run effects of trend inflation, the transmission of monetary policy …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015057673
reactiveness of inflation to the unemployment rate. In regard to a monetary union, the national unemployment multiplier in the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010238840
This paper aims at providing macroeconomists with a detailed exposition of the New Keynesian DSGE model. Both the sticky price version and the sticky information variant are derived mathematically. Moreover, we simulate the models, also including lagged terms in the sticky price version, and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010425864
We incorporate adaptive learning-based inflation expectations in an Unobserved Components model in order to study the … link between inflation and the output gap. The forward-looking New Keynesian Phillips curve serves as the backbone for … modeling inflation dynamics. We find that learning based inflation forecasts not only shadow survey expectations in the pre …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013234838
When inflation picks up, central banks are most concerned that the de-anchoring of inflation expectations and the … ignition of wage-price spirals will trigger inflation dynamic instability. However, such scenarios do not materialize in the … updated according to the actual inflation process, with indexed wages, and persistent inflation shocks. In these cases, a more …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014478734
hybrid specification that includes both lagged and future inflation and then by examining whether the estimated coefficient … on future inflation is significantly larger than the one on lagged inflation. This article presents the evidence that … is irrelevant and expected future inflation is the major determinant of inflation — arise if the hybrid specification is …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013097078
Keynesian assumption ofprice rigidity and show that the response of inflation to the output gap tends to be significant only if … the inflation rate tends to be relatively high and exceeds a certain threshold. For a low inflation rate, the price … during which the elasticity of inflation rate to an excess demand has become highly important and the inflation rate …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011754075
Is the observed correlation between current and lagged inflation a function of backward-looking inflation expectations …, or do the lags in inflation regressions merely proxy for rational forward-looking expectations, as in the new … "hybrid" specifications for inflation that allow for effects of lagged and future inflation. We show that these tests of …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014127269
commiting to keep interest rates low at the exit of the liquidity trap, to stabilize inflation today. 2. From debt … consolidated budget) monetary policy becomes subservient to fiscal policy, giving rise to more volatile inflation, output and … interest rates. Liquidity trap (LT) episodes are longer, however, the impact of interest rate policy commitments on inflation …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012304687