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Most macroeconomic data is continuously revised as additional information becomes available. We suggest that revisions …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011298898
Most macroeconomic data is continuously revised as additional information becomes available. We suggest that revisions …, covering the period of January 1991 until March 2014. The information content or informativeness of revision is measured using …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010425751
We estimate the effect of information and ability spillovers on sell-side analysts' quarterly EPS forecast accuracy …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012854680
This paper investigates how information affect voting behaviour. There exist a large literature suggesting that … voters can not make up for their lack of information using shortcuts. Furthermore, the errors uninformed voters make do not … techniques. -- Voting behavior ; Citizen candidates ; Information ; Cues …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003879443
How should public debt be managed when uncertainty about the business cycle is widespread and debt levels are high, as in the aftermath of the last financial crisis? This paper analyzes optimal fiscal policy with ambiguity aversion and endogenous government spending. We show that, without...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011446558
We examine the portfolio-choice puzzle posed by Canner, Mankiw, and Weil (1997). The idea is to test a conclusion reached by Elton and Gruber (2000), stating that a bonds/stocks ratio which decreases in relation to risk tolerance does not necessarily mean a contradiction of modern...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012732728
This paper analyzes optimal fiscal policy with ambiguity aversion and endogenous government spending. We show that, without ambiguity, optimal surplus-to-output ratios are acyclical and that there is no rationale for either reduction or further accumulation of public debt. In contrast, ambiguity...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012936338
by exploiting edge effects, information aggregation of local estimates and high-frequency asymptotic approximation. The …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012970519
characteristics and crises. Our analysis suggests that most of the current theories, based on either information asymmetries between …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012852252
This paper analyzes optimal fiscal policy with ambiguity aversion and endogenous government spending. We show that, without ambiguity, optimal surplus-to-output ratios are acyclical and that there is no rationale for either reduction or further accumulation of public debt. In contrast, ambiguity...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012855601